Transformational Scenario Planning

In this talk, Adam Kahane tells the story of a scenario exercise he facilitated in Colombia in 1996 against the backdrop of ongoing civil war. Kahane, who was formerly with Shell, has spent the last twenty years practising and facilitating scenario exercises. He makes a distinction between using scenarios to adapt to the future, rather than using them to influence it.
Source:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k_yCO0SW1Uc
Kahane has also written a book on the transformative scenario methodology:
https://books.google.ca/books/about/Transformative_Scenario_Planning.html?id=VcJ2Svh1LC4C
You can read the second chapter here in this Stanford Social Innovation Review article:
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